Tonight, Obama won 1 extra electoral vote, from Nebraska, which other than Maine, is the only state to split its electoral votes. So, intrade was off slightly in terms of total final electoral tally.
As an aside, does it not seem somehow....unpatriotic that we extend State's rights to NATIONAL elections? Why should Nebraska be able to decide to split its electoral votes, while others choose not to. We need serious federal overhaul of our electoral system. I would start by, you know, getting rid of it.